Celtic Heroes

Whew! alright everyone counts are in!

You all did great and collected 639 crowns! that's 6,390 presents! Give your self a round of applause .

Pink: 31.6% chance
Orange: 29.3%
Yellow: 18%
Green: 9.1%
Turquoise: 4.7%
Blue: 3.1%
Purple: 1.7%
White: 0.94%
Sparkly( seems to be even spread for each crown): 1.56% chance to get any sparkly, figures into 0.15% to get a specific sparkly, or roughly 667 crowns before you get the sparkly you want. *cough* white *cough* which is 6670 presents.

um thanks for this but I willl make another better thread about this where we can get real data.

Whew! alright everyone counts are in!

You all did great and collected 639 crowns! that's 6,390 presents! Give your self a round of applause .

Pink: 31.6% chance
Orange: 29.3%
Yellow: 18%
Green: 9.1%
Turquoise: 4.7%
Blue: 3.1%
Purple: 1.7%
White: 0.94%
Sparkly( seems to be even spread for each crown): 1.56% chance to get any sparkly, figures into 0.15% to get a specific sparkly, or roughly 667 crowns before you get the sparkly you want. *cough* white *cough* which is 6670 presents.

So you troll my original thread and create a duplicate thread and you come up with this crap? You said:

um thanks for this but I willl make another better thread about this where we can get real data.

I fail to see how this is even useful... You are just making up statistics on your own as well. There isn't a chance in hell that the sparkly crowns are same across the board. Nor is a 639 sample base even remotely accurate. You wouldn't be able to get realistic numbers unless you recorded a minimum of 10,000, which I knew would never happen. Yet again, you have trolled and failed. Next time you are going to troll someones thread, be able to back it up because these numbers are useless...

Whew! alright everyone counts are in!

You all did great and collected 639 crowns! that's 6,390 presents! Give your self a round of applause .

Pink: 31.6% chance
Orange: 29.3%
Yellow: 18%
Green: 9.1%
Turquoise: 4.7%
Blue: 3.1%
Purple: 1.7%
White: 0.94%
Sparkly( seems to be even spread for each crown): 1.56% chance to get any sparkly, figures into 0.15% to get a specific sparkly, or roughly 667 crowns before you get the sparkly you want. *cough* white *cough* which is 6670 presents.

So you troll my original thread and create a duplicate thread and you come up with this crap? You said:

um thanks for this but I willl make another better thread about this where we can get real data.

I fail to see how this is even useful... You are just making up statistics on your own as well. There isn't a chance in hell that the sparkly crowns are same across the board. Nor is a 639 sample base even remotely accurate. You wouldn't be able to get realistic numbers unless you recorded a minimum of 10,000, which I knew would never happen. Yet again, you have trolled and failed. Next time you are going to troll someones thread, be able to back it up because these numbers are useless...

Dude, maybe this was useful to me? How is it trolling? Keep your negative comments to urself

Whew! alright everyone counts are in!

You all did great and collected 639 crowns! that's 6,390 presents! Give your self a round of applause .

Pink: 31.6% chance
Orange: 29.3%
Yellow: 18%
Green: 9.1%
Turquoise: 4.7%
Blue: 3.1%
Purple: 1.7%
White: 0.94%
Sparkly( seems to be even spread for each crown): 1.56% chance to get any sparkly, figures into 0.15% to get a specific sparkly, or roughly 667 crowns before you get the sparkly you want. *cough* white *cough* which is 6670 presents.

So you troll my original thread and create a duplicate thread and you come up with this crap? You said:

um thanks for this but I willl make another better thread about this where we can get real data.

I fail to see how this is even useful... You are just making up statistics on your own as well. There isn't a chance in hell that the sparkly crowns are same across the board. Nor is a 639 sample base even remotely accurate. You wouldn't be able to get realistic numbers unless you recorded a minimum of 10,000, which I knew would never happen. Yet again, you have trolled and failed. Next time you are going to troll someones thread, be able to back it up because these numbers are useless...

Ok all, I'm going to run counts now. However we are goin to need many many more data points to get the sparkling crown probablitites. Keep up the good work! Keep editing your initial posts as you get more and write edit in them when you do.

UPDATE: DO NOT edit your previous post. Just make a new post when you have new crowns, don't include crowns you've already posted before. I will just keep adding numbers to the current tallies. Thanks for your hard work!

Whew! alright everyone counts are in!

You all did great and collected 639 crowns! that's 6,390 presents! Give your self a round of applause .

Pink: 31.6% chance
Orange: 29.3%
Yellow: 18%
Green: 9.1%
Turquoise: 4.7%
Blue: 3.1%
Purple: 1.7%
White: 0.94%
Sparkly( seems to be even spread for each crown): 1.56% chance to get any sparkly, figures into 0.15% to get a specific sparkly, or roughly 667 crowns before you get the sparkly you want. *cough* white *cough* which is 6670 presents.
So you troll my original thread and create a duplicate thread and you come up with this crap? You said:
[quotum thanks for this but I willl make another better thread about this where we can get real data.[/q
I fail to see how this is even useful... You are just making up statistics on your own as well. There isn't a chance in hell that the sparkly crowns are same across the board. Nor is a 639 sample base even remotely accurate. You wouldn't be able to get realistic numbers unless you recorded a minimum of 10,000, which I knew would never happen. Yet again, you have trolled and failed. Next time you are going to troll someones thread, be able to back it up because these numbers are useless...[/q

Dude, maybe this was useful to me? How is it trolling? Keep your negative comments to urself

Well at a minimum his math is bad. If its a 1.56% chance at sparkly (probably not the same for each crown but whatever) and white is .94% then if they are independent events (again dubious) the math is .0156 x .0094 or .000147 or 1 in 6,800 chance requiring 68 THOUSAND gifts to get a 70.7% chance at at least ONE white sparkly. Given the number of white sparkles I think the events are not independent I'll leave it to another post to show a statistical basis.

He missed a decimal point and is unaware of statistical methods. But a rough count isn't bad for those that know math to make guesses. Although I'd say there is a bias to post if you have good drops and not to if you are browned off at all that work for a pile of junk crowns.