Celtic Heroes

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Re: How Many Skain Bloodthorn Sets?

#61
Except it read as 99% chance for a ammy. Not 99% for at least one with a 9/10 chance at 2 or more.

It reads to the casual person as quite different.
Member of Aeon - Taranis - 24 boxer
220+ toons
Ravenleaf druid - Silverstring ranger
Stormsong warrior - Nwerb Mage - Eventide Rogue

Toon histogram:
Level_____|200+|150-199|100-149|50-99|20-49|1-19|
# of toons|_5__|___16___|____3___|__11__|__21_|407|

Re: How Many Skain Bloodthorn Sets?

#63
We get it, you're wrong. No need to explain what you thought ;)
In a statistics class if you say a success instead of at least one success you get it marked wrong. Just sayin.
Member of Aeon - Taranis - 24 boxer
220+ toons
Ravenleaf druid - Silverstring ranger
Stormsong warrior - Nwerb Mage - Eventide Rogue

Toon histogram:
Level_____|200+|150-199|100-149|50-99|20-49|1-19|
# of toons|_5__|___16___|____3___|__11__|__21_|407|

Re: How Many Skain Bloodthorn Sets?

#64
Back on topic though I wonder if providing a mathematical basis for a sample size being sufficent to yield a relatively even distribution is something oTM considers. For example if you assume 4.5 per day (for simplicity) then in a month it's approximately 135. Without knowing the odds well yet (I only have good data from my own world) if the event only lasts two months it's could yield a lopsided distribution from the expected one with a relatively high probability. Not everyone who codes has a strong background in statistics.

If events are short maybe a pseudo random distribution would be better where a minimum number of each neck and charm (in this case) would be guarenteed to drop. That way no world would really get the short end of the stick.

For example during the last event there were no godly charms that dropped on my world. You could code it so at least one of each type would drop. Otherwise it makes no sense to code it into a game when most or even all worlds never even get one.
Member of Aeon - Taranis - 24 boxer
220+ toons
Ravenleaf druid - Silverstring ranger
Stormsong warrior - Nwerb Mage - Eventide Rogue

Toon histogram:
Level_____|200+|150-199|100-149|50-99|20-49|1-19|
# of toons|_5__|___16___|____3___|__11__|__21_|407|

Re: How Many Skain Bloodthorn Sets?

#65
We did the math on rhiannon the other day. Innercircle has killed 217 event 210s including 60 6* the other big clan, Deadliest has killed 25 event 210s including 4 6* Thats 337 event drops for innercircle, of that many drops we had just completed our second blood set the same day we did the math.
Airrius 225 tank
TheGreenMan 216 druid
Balgair 221 rogue
Velocity 200 rogue
Iolo 225 ranger
Alistar 215 mage
Divym 223 mage

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