Celtic Heroes

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Mystery Chest Simulator

#1
Hi Everyone! I wanted to let you all know about a new toy I developed... the Mystery Chest Simulator!
http://www.celticheroes.info/2018/01/my ... lator.html

The Mystery Chest Simulator lets you simulate opening chests and shows you what items you'll get.Test your luck without spending any money!
Item pull rates are approximated, and may not exactly mirror in game pull probabilities. I'll talk about that more below.

Have some fun, play around with it, and let me know what you think!
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YouTube | Mystery Chest Simulator | Cooking Guide | Legacy Boss Guide

Re: Mystery Chest Simulator

#2
We don't know the exact item pull probabilities, so I tried to approximate them as best I could, and I'll talk about how I set it up here:
I created 7 groups of items with different probabilities of pulling that item group:
Group 7 - Jackpot: 0.01% - Dragon Eggs, 4k plat, 2m Gold
Group 6 - Jackpot: 0.05% - Mounts
Group 5 - Rare: 1.5% - Any Aeon stuff (no matter color or rarity), Particle Turq-White Tokens, Hero Combos, etc
Group 4 - Semi-Rare: 5% - Hero Knows, Particle red-green tokens, normal turq-white tokens, 150 plat, Mount Tokens, Pet Tokens, etc
Group 3 - Uncommon: 15% - Super Combos, Normal red-green tokens, 60 plat, Books of rebirth, etc
Group 2 - Jackpot: 30% - Hero Hastes, Sigils, Books of Alt, 10k Gold
Group 1 - Common: 48.44% - Resto pots, Idols, SKS, Heroic Elixirs, Bounty pledges
See the full item list with probability groups here

There is also a probability of pulling 1 to 3 items per chest
One Item - 62.5%
Two Items - 31.25%
Three Items - 6.25%

Let me know what you think of how this is set up; if you think the probabilities should be changed, if some items belong in a different group, if more groups should be made, etc.
Thanks for testing this out and for helping to make the Mystery Chest Simulator better!
Last edited by Bitey on Sun Jan 07, 2018 2:35 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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YouTube | Mystery Chest Simulator | Cooking Guide | Legacy Boss Guide

Re: Mystery Chest Simulator

#7
Bitey you forgot Sigils which are the most common chest drop, even more so that idols and restos
Sigils are in there, I just didn't list them above because the list would be super long. There's around 2000 possible items. I put sigils in group 3, but I could be persuaded to put them in group 2. Maybe I'm just unlucky at getting sigils and that's why I put them in group 3.

Edit: I put sigils in group 2, and I also put rebirths and alts in group 2
Image
YouTube | Mystery Chest Simulator | Cooking Guide | Legacy Boss Guide

Re: Mystery Chest Simulator

#9
Very cool and fun to use lol... 64 chests in and I got 2 dragoon eggs lol. Definitely needs some fixing but it’s still very cool and the first of its kind
Zkills, Proud general of the beloved KodiakReavers of Belenus, the G.O.A.T clan

Professor/Detective Zkills, op mage of Epona, chieftain of KodiakReavers. Server banned for doing PvP in arena.

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